Friday, September 14, 2007

Can we fight terrorism by reducing CO2 emissions?


First climate change was a scientific debate, then a political and an economic concern. Now the military are taking a serious interest. Where will global warming create conflict? What weather conditions will future soldiers have to endure as they fight? And, they are asking, could the effects of western pollution plant the seeds of terrorism in the minds of desperate refugees?
Today the Met office will announce a new programme of research funded by the Ministry of Defence. The scientists will trawl their computer models of future climate for likely trouble spots where fights over increasingly scarce food and water could break out. The British officials are not the first to tie the effects of global warming to a worsening security situation: a succession of reports and high profile figures have warned over the last eighteen months that a warmer world could overheat.Among those was Air Chief Marshall Sir Jock Stirrup, chief of the defence staff. In an unreported speech at Chatam House this June, Sir Jock made an extraordinary claim: that climate change could increase the terrorist threat.
Here is what he said:
"9/11, while by no means the start of international terrorism, illustrated as perhaps nothing else had done, the threat that it could pose to our societies and it's already clear that political, social and economic factors play a large part in rendering people more susceptible to those movements that rely so much on terrorism as a tool. Now add in the effects of climate change. Poverty and despair multiply; resentment surges and people look for someone to blame. As long ago as 2002, Osama Bin Laden said about America 'You have destroyed nature with your industrial waste and gases, more than any other nation in its history. Despite this you refuse to sign the Kyoto agreement so that you can secure the profit of your greedy companies and industries'. Now imagine that you are reading this as a young man living in a refugee camp because your home and livelihood have vanished after flooding, which was blamed on the rising sea level. I'm sure you get the point."
Amazing, isn't it?
Given Sir Jock's views is it possible that we can we fight terrorism by reducing greenhouse gas emissions? Now, there's a conundrum for President Bush.

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